About.
Amanoki is a computational tool for wholesale electricity markets — JEPX (Japan) live, ERCOT / PJM / CAISO / AEMO / NYISO catalogued and on the roadmap. It publishes regime labels, empirical spike-probability tables, and calibration-scored forecast distributions. It is not an advisory service.
Who runs it
A solo operator with a background in power-market consulting. Amanoki is a one-person build at this stage: no sales team, no customer-success organisation, no paid ads. Feedback channels are deliberately narrow — methodology and endpoints are public, and the live status endpoint carries the operational facts.
Why this form
Procurement and trading desks already subscribe to market-data feeds and price-forecast vendors. What is missing is a thin computational layer that stabilises the volatility and spike signal — one that publishes its methodology, its held-out calibration score, and its known limits, so callers can audit before they rely. That is the job Amanoki is built to do.
What ships today
- JEPX nine area prices + system price, 30-minute bar, live.
- Four-state regime FSM (low / normal / high / scarcity) with hysteresis.
- Empirical spike-probability tables conditioned on hour-of-day × is-weekend.
- Weather-conditioned multinomial logistic regression forecast (v1.5) with Brier 0.017 / 0.032 / 0.075 at 60 / 120 / 240 minutes.
- Spatial-influence maps across JEPX areas.
- Transition matrix, state-dwell distribution, per-bar feature history.
What does not ship
- Investment advice of any kind.
- Point price forecasts — we publish regime distributions, not directional predictions.
- Trading signals or execution suggestions.
- Customer onboarding dialog — the service is self-serve by design.
Contact
Commercial inquiry channels will open alongside the billing stack. Until then the API is free to call within published rate limits; methodology and status pages are the primary interface.